
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Toronto Blue Jays
-130O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+110
(-110/-110)+110
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Justin Wrobleski will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Extreme flyball hitters like Max Muncy tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Teoscar Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)In his last outing, Max Scherzer performed well and allowed 1 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Ernie Clement – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)Ernie Clement is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the seasonExplain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 155 games (+22.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 97 games (+14.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.70 Units / 93% ROI)
