
Los Angeles Angels
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Chicago Cubs
+140O/U: 6
(-110/-110)-160
(-110/-110)-160
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Yusei Kikuchi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)The Chicago Cubs have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- The Los Angeles Angels (27.9% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-prone batting order on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-160)The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Alex Bregman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has been lucky since the start of last season with his .271 actual batting average.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- Chicago Cubs batters as a unit rank 5th- in MLB for power since the start of last season when using their 10.1% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-165)The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 68 games at home (+19.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-160)Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
