Track the Live Score for Pirates vs Reds – 4/01/2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Cincinnati Reds

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Paul Skenes – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Paul Skenes has been given more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 4.2 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+170/-225)
  Jake Mangum is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Spencer Horwitz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, Will Benson, Tyler Stephenson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 145 games (+26.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+190/-255)
  Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)