Find the TV Channel Information for Pirates vs Reds – 3/30/26

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Cincinnati Reds

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Braxton Ashcraft – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Out of all starters, Braxton Ashcraft’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph ranks in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the unluckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Chase Burns – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+145/-190)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Chase Burns to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 78 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Tyler Stephenson – Over/Under Stolen Bases
  Ranking in the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Tyler Stephenson has paced 0 stolen bases per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• The 7.3% Barrel% of the Cincinnati Reds makes them the #28 club in the league since the start of last season by this standard.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 128 games (+25.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 126 games (+24.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+125/-160)
  Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 91% ROI)