
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Milwaukee Brewers
-150O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+130
(-110/-110)+130
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Blake Snell – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)Blake Snell’s 94.5-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.3-mph drop off from last year’s 95.8-mph figure.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
- Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Quinn Priester in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-150)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Aaron Ashby – Over/Under Pitching OutsThe leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Aaron Ashby to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 57 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Milwaukee Brewers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+130)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 164 games (+26.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 61% ROI)