Discover the Royals vs Angels Game Time – September 25, 2025

Kansas City Royals

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Kansas City Royals on September 25, 2025, both teams find themselves in the midst of disappointing seasons. The Angels, with a record of 71-87, are struggling to find consistency, while the Royals sit at 79-79, hovering around the .500 mark. In their last matchup, the Angels managed a narrow victory, edging out the Royals 3-2, which adds a layer of intrigue to this third game of the series.

Mitch Farris is projected to take the mound for the Angels. He has had a rough season, holding a Win/Loss record of 1-2 with an alarming ERA of 6.52. In his most recent start on September 19, he was hit hard, allowing 6 earned runs over just 4 innings. However, the projections suggest he may have been unlucky, as his xFIP of 4.80 is significantly better than his ERA. Facing him is Michael Lorenzen, who has also struggled this season, holding a 6-11 record and a 4.70 ERA. Lorenzen pitched well in his last outing, going 8 innings and allowing just 1 earned run, which could give him a confidence boost.

Offensively, the Angels rank 24th in MLB, but they do boast the 5th best home run total, suggesting they have the potential to capitalize on any mistakes from opposing pitchers. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 20th in overall offense and 25th in home runs, which may hinder their ability to exploit Farris’s high-flyball tendencies.

With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs and betting markets indicating a close contest, this matchup could hinge on the performance of both starting pitchers. If Farris can harness some of that projected potential, the Angels may surprise bettors looking for value against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael Lorenzen has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 8.4% more often this year (60.1%) than he did last year (51.7%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Michael Massey – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Michael Massey is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#2-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+110)
  Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Chris Taylor – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Chris Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Los Angeles Angels (28.4% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-prone set of hitters on the slate.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 139 games (+19.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-125/-105)
  Mike Trout has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)