Discover Current Player Trends for Giants vs Brewers – Friday August 22, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Milwaukee Brewers

On August 22, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the San Francisco Giants at American Family Field. This matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions, with the Brewers boasting an impressive 80-48 record, while the Giants are struggling at 61-67. The Brewers are not only contending but are currently positioned as a strong team in the National League, while the Giants find themselves in a below-average season.

In their last matchup, the Brewers secured a solid 4-1 victory, continuing their strong performance. Meanwhile, the Giants recently fell to a different opponent, losing 8-4. With Jose Quintana taking the mound for the Brewers, expectations are high. Quintana has shown his mettle this season, carrying a 10-4 record and a strong 3.32 ERA. However, his xFIP of 4.68 suggests he might be due for a regression. Quintana’s average projection of 5.6 innings pitched and 2.7 earned runs allowed indicates a stable outing is likely.

On the other side, Carson Whisenhunt, with a 1-1 record and a troubling 5.02 ERA, has struggled in his limited starts, and projections show he could face challenges against the Brewers’ potent offense, which ranks 9th in MLB. Whisenhunt’s high walk rate and the Brewers’ ability to draw walks could lead to a favorable matchup for Milwaukee.

With a high Game Total set at 9.0 runs and the Brewers favored with a moneyline of -175, betting trends suggest a strong outlook for Milwaukee. The Brewers are projected to score 5.09 runs, while the Giants are expected to muster only 3.91 runs, making this a challenging game for San Francisco.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Carson Whisenhunt – Over/Under 13.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Whisenhunt to throw 81 pitches in this matchup (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
  Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Luis Matos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jose Quintana – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Jose Quintana’s sinker percentage has risen by 13.5% from last year to this one (30.4% to 43.9%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Brandon Lockridge – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Brandon Lockridge’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 77.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-180)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 82 games (+33.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+125/-160)
  Sal Frelick has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)