Explore the Dodgers vs Angels Matchup Preview and Game Analysis – Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles Dodgers

@
Los Angeles Angels logo

Los Angeles Angels

-170O/U: 10
(-110/-110)
+145

The Los Angeles Angels and the Los Angeles Dodgers will clash again on August 12, 2025, at Angel Stadium for the second game of their interleague series. The Dodgers enter this matchup with a solid 68-51 record, reflecting their status as one of the top teams in MLB. Meanwhile, the Angels sit at 57-62, struggling to find consistency this season. In their last game, the Angels pulled off a 7-4 victory over the Dodgers, marking an unexpected win that adds tension to today’s game.

On the mound, the Angels will start Victor Mederos, who has yet to secure a win in his limited appearances this season, featuring an ERA of 4.50 and a concerning projection of allowing 2.9 earned runs over an average of 3.9 innings. His high groundball rate of 67% could serve him well against a powerful Dodgers lineup, but his high walk rate (22.2%) may play into the Dodgers’ patient approach at the plate.

Emmet Sheehan will take the hill for the Dodgers, boasting a solid 3.00 ERA over five starts this year and a recent outing where he went five innings without allowing an earned run. Despite a higher xFIP of 4.15, which suggests he could be due for some regression, Sheehan has shown he can effectively navigate opposing lineups.

Offensively, the Dodgers rank 1st in MLB, while the Angels sit at 17th. The Dodgers’ potent batting lineup includes a hitter with a staggering 1.013 OPS, showcasing their offensive firepower. Although the Angels rank 4th in home runs, their overall offensive inconsistency could be a significant hurdle.

With a game total set at 10.0 runs, bettors should watch how the Angels’ power can exploit Sheehan’s flyball tendencies, while the Dodgers look to capitalize on Mederos’s struggles with walks. The Angels are currently a +160 underdog, presenting an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking to capitalize on their potential to upset.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
    Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Emmet Sheehan (39.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Michael Conforto – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+140/-185)
    Michael Conforto has paced 1 stolen bases per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 15th percentile for base-stealing.
    Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 6th-best out of all major league teams.
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

  • Victor Mederos – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
    Because of his large platoon split, Victor Mederos will have a tough challenge matching up with 6 bats in the projected offense who bat from the other side in today’s outing.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
  • Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
    Typically, batters like Mike Trout who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emmet Sheehan.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
    Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)
    The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)
    Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)