Player Predictions Overview for Nationals vs Giants – 8/10/2025

Washington Nationals

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San Francisco Giants

On August 10, 2025, the San Francisco Giants will host the Washington Nationals at Oracle Park in a National League matchup. The Giants enter this game with a record of 59-58, sitting in the middle of the pack, while the Nationals struggle at 46-70. In their last encounter, the Giants lost to the Nationals by a score of 4-2, marking the second consecutive defeat for San Francisco in this series.

Starting for the Giants is Justin Verlander, who had a solid outing in his last start on August 4, allowing no earned runs over five innings. However, he carries a disappointing 1-8 record this season and ranks as the 128th best starting pitcher in MLB per advanced metrics, indicating that he has been below average this year. Verlander’s projections suggest he may struggle with hits and walks, allowing an average of 5.2 hits and 1.5 walks per game, both of which are troublesome numbers.

MacKenzie Gore will take the mound for the Nationals. Though he has had a rough season at 4-12, his 3.58 xFIP suggests he may have been unlucky and could improve. Gore’s last start was a disaster, where he gave up 8 earned runs in just 3 innings, but projections indicate he will pitch around 5.3 innings today with a slightly higher earned run projection of 2.7.

While both offenses have been lackluster this season, the Giants rank 24th in MLB, and the Nationals are slightly better at 23rd. With the Giants being a betting favorite at -155 and their implied team total sitting at 4.39 runs, this matchup favors San Francisco, despite their recent struggles. The Game Total is set at 8.0 runs, which is average, but with the potential for Verlander to bounce back and the Giants’ home advantage, they might find a way to capitalize on this situation.

Washington Nationals Insights

• MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  MacKenzie Gore has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying 6.3 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Paul DeJong – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Brady House – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Brady House has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Justin Verlander – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Justin Verlander’s slider rate has increased by 11.1% from last year to this one (19.3% to 30.4%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Jung Hoo Lee has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 83.1-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Justin Verlander – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+10.27 Units / 9% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-120/-110)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)