Weather for Mets vs Orioles Game – 7/10/25

New York Mets

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Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Mets face off in the second game of their series on July 10, 2025, following a close matchup yesterday where the Orioles fell to the Mets by a score of 7-6. Both teams are in different places this season, with the Orioles struggling at 40-50, while the Mets sit at a strong 53-39.

Charlie Morton is projected to take the mound for the Orioles. He has had a challenging year, holding a 5-7 record and a 5.47 ERA, which reflects his difficulties. However, the advanced projections suggest he may have been unlucky, as his 4.09 xFIP indicates potential for improvement. Morton’s last outing was promising, allowing only 2 earned runs across 5 innings with 7 strikeouts.

On the other side, David Peterson takes the hill for the Mets. With a solid 6-4 record and a commendable 3.18 ERA, Peterson has been effective but is viewed as a below-average pitcher in advanced metrics. His recent performance was impressive, pitching 7 innings and allowing just 1 earned run against the competition.

Offensively, the Mets are ranked 7th in MLB, showcasing their ability to generate runs, while the Orioles rank a lowly 21st. The Mets’ best hitter has been on a tear, boasting a .353 batting average over the last week, compared to the Orioles’ best hitter, who has also performed well but lacks the same level of production.

With the Orioles’ pitching struggles and their overall offensive ranking, the Mets are positioned as the favorites, yet the projections suggest that they may have their work cut out for them against a motivated Orioles squad. The high game total of 9.5 runs hints at a potential for scoring, making it an intriguing matchup for bettors.

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Justin Hagenman is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Mets’ bullpen ranks as the worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Charlie Morton has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 5.47 mark is inflated compared to his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
  Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.