Check Out Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Astros vs Angels – Sunday, June 22, 2025

Houston Astros

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Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels will look to build on their recent momentum as they face the Houston Astros on June 22, 2025, at Angel Stadium. The Angels are coming off a commanding 9-1 victory yesterday, while the Astros struggled, suffering the same scoreline in defeat. This matchup is crucial for both teams, as the Angels currently hold a record of 37-39, sitting in 4th place in the American League West, while the Astros are in contention with a solid 44-33 record.

In terms of pitching, the Angels are set to start Kyle Hendricks, who has had an inconsistent season thus far. Despite being ranked as the 229th best starting pitcher in MLB, he showed promise in his last outing, pitching 6 innings with 0 earned runs and striking out 9 batters. Hendricks has an ERA of 4.79, but his xERA of 3.88 suggests he might have been a bit unlucky this year.

On the other hand, the Astros will counter with Ryan Gusto, who’s also had his share of ups and downs. Gusto’s ERA stands at 4.31, which is considered average, but he has been below-average in terms of strikeouts and innings pitched.

From a hitting perspective, the Angels’ offense ranks 24th in MLB, but they’re tied for 3rd in home runs with 110 this season. This power could play a significant role against Gusto, a high-flyball pitcher who has a 37% flyball rate. In contrast, the Astros boast a more balanced offense, ranking 7th in batting average but only 16th in home runs.

Betting markets have set both teams at -110 moneylines, indicating a tight contest. With the Angels projected to score 4.50 runs and the Astros matching that, this game promises to be a slugfest, especially with the Angels’ power facing off against Gusto’s flyball tendencies.

Houston Astros Insights

• Houston Astros – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)
  Ryan Gusto is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #10 HR venue in the majors today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Victor Caratini – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Extreme flyball bats like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Houston Astros (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Kyle Hendricks has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged matching up with 8 same-handed batters today.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Jo Adell has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 25.7% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen profiles as the worst in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+16.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+130/-170)
  Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)