Check Out the Player Prop Odds for Cubs vs Tigers – 6/06/25

Chicago Cubs

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Detroit Tigers

As the Detroit Tigers prepare to face the Chicago Cubs on June 6, 2025, at Comerica Park, both teams come into this interleague matchup with impressive records, sitting at 41-23 and 39-23, respectively. The stakes are high, as this game marks the first in a series between these two strong teams, each showcasing top-tier talent.

The Tigers are projected to start Tarik Skubal, who has been nothing short of exceptional this season. With a 5-2 record and an outstanding ERA of 2.26, Skubal ranks as the 1st best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system. His ability to limit walks (2.5 BB%) will be crucial against a Cubs offense that ranks 3rd in MLB for drawing walks. However, Skubal’s low-walk rate may neutralize this strength, giving him an edge in this matchup.

On the mound for the Cubs is Ben Brown, who has had a more challenging season with a 3-3 record and a troubling ERA of 5.72. Despite his high strikeout rate (28.0 K%), he faces a Tigers offense that ranks 4th in MLB for strikeouts, potentially playing into Detroit’s hands. The projections suggest that Brown’s ERA may not fully reflect his capabilities, but he will need to deliver a strong performance against a potent Tigers lineup, which ranks 7th in MLB offensively.

In their last game, the Tigers’ best hitter had a standout performance, recording 7 hits and 8 RBIs over the last week, showcasing his form as they look to capitalize on their home-field advantage. With the Tigers’ bullpen ranking 2nd best in MLB, they have a significant edge in late-game situations. Given the current betting odds, the Tigers are favored at -185, reflecting their solid standing and recent form. Expect a competitive matchup as both teams aim to assert their dominance in this series.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Ben Brown – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Ben Brown’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (59% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Matt Shaw – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Matt Shaw’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 81.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 78.4-mph in the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in MLB this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Tarik Skubal’s fastball spin rate has increased 103 rpm this year (2329 rpm) over where it was last year (2226 rpm).
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• Parker Meadows – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Parker Meadows is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#3-best of all teams today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+11.68 Units / 17% ROI)
• Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (+105)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-125/-105)
  Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)