Weather for Mets vs Orioles Game – 7/10/25

New York Mets

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Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles will host the New York Mets on July 10, 2025, in what promises to be an exciting double-header at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Both teams faced off yesterday, with the Mets taking the first game of the series. The Orioles, currently struggling with a 40-50 record, are looking to turn their fortunes around against a Mets team that is 53-39 and enjoying a strong season.

On the mound for the Orioles will be Charlie Morton, who has had a tumultuous year, posting a 5-7 record and a troubling 5.47 ERA. Although Morton ranks as the 171st best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics, he has shown signs of being unlucky this season, as indicated by his 4.09 xFIP. He is projected to pitch 5.0 innings today, allowing around 3.2 earned runs, which is less than ideal for Baltimore’s struggling offense.

David Peterson will take the ball for the Mets. With a solid 6-4 record and a stellar 3.18 ERA, Peterson has been an asset for New York. However, projections suggest he may be due for a regression, as indicated by his 4.18 xERA. Peterson is expected to pitch 5.6 innings today, allowing about 2.9 earned runs.

At the plate, the Orioles rank 19th in MLB offensive performance, while the Mets boast the 7th best offense. This discrepancy could be pivotal in today’s matchup. The Game Total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair. The Mets are favored at -140 on the moneyline, reflecting their stronger current form, while the Orioles, as underdogs at +115, hope for a breakthrough against a tough opponent.

New York Mets Insights

• New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Justin Hagenman is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Mets’ bullpen ranks as the worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Charlie Morton has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 5.47 mark is inflated compared to his 4.54 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
  Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.