Weather for Giants vs Nationals Game – 5/24/25

San Francisco Giants

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Washington Nationals

On May 24, 2025, the Washington Nationals host the San Francisco Giants for the second game of their series at Nationals Park. The Nationals, currently sitting at 23-28, are struggling this season, while the Giants boast a strong 30-21 record. In their previous matchup on May 23, the Giants shut out the Nationals 4-0, showcasing their solid pitching and offensive capabilities.

The Nationals will send Jake Irvin to the mound, who has a mixed performance this year with a 3-1 record and a respectable ERA of 3.88. However, advanced metrics suggest he may have been somewhat fortunate, as his 4.66 xFIP indicates potential regression. Irvin’s average projections are decent, allowing 2.9 earned runs over approximately 5.5 innings, but his tendency to give up 5.1 hits and 1.8 walks per game could be problematic against a Giants lineup that ranks 18th in overall offensive performance.

Kyle Harrison, the Giants’ projected starter, has had a rocky start to his season, appearing in four games without a start. His ERA is impressive at 3.38, but his 4.58 FIP suggests he may not maintain that level of success. Harrison’s projections are concerning; he is expected to pitch only 4.4 innings while allowing 2.1 earned runs.

While both offenses have struggled at times, the Nationals rank 16th overall, slightly ahead of the Giants at 18th. However, the Giants’ bullpen is ranked 1st, presenting a significant advantage in late-game situations. Washington’s best hitter has shown solid form recently, boasting a 1.017 OPS over the last week, which could provide some hope for the Nationals as they look to bounce back from their recent loss. With a Game Total set at 8.5 runs, this matchup presents an intriguing betting opportunity, particularly with the Nationals as underdogs at +135.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Kyle Harrison’s 2205.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Tyler Fitzgerald’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.4-mph average last season has decreased to 82.3-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Jake Irvin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Considering that groundball hitters perform worse against groundball pitchers, Jake Irvin (34.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 4 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Amed Rosario – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Extreme flyball batters like Amed Rosario tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Washington Nationals – Moneyline (+135)
  The Washington Nationals projected batting order ranks as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.67 Units / 29% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+540/-950)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+14.05 Units / 176% ROI)