Watch the Yankees vs Athletics Game Highlights – May 10th, 2025

New York Yankees

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Athletics

On May 10, 2025, the Oakland Athletics will host the New York Yankees at Sutter Health Park in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Yankees, coming off a strong performance, are riding high with a record of 22-16, while the Athletics sit at 20-19, still finding their footing this season. This game marks the second in a series between these two teams, with the Yankees currently favored, though the Athletics have shown they can compete.

Projected starters for this matchup are left-handers JP Sears for Oakland and Carlos Rodon for New York. Sears, ranked as the 133rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, has had an excellent ERA of 2.93 this season but is projected to allow 3.1 earned runs today. He faces a Yankees offense that ranks 1st in MLB in home runs, making this a challenging outing for him, especially given his flyball tendencies.

Rodon, on the other hand, is ranked 68th among starting pitchers and boasts a solid ERA of 2.96. His strikeout ability (30.3 K%) will be tested against an Athletics lineup that ranks 5th least in strikeouts. The projections suggest Rodon will perform well, potentially limiting the Athletics’ scoring opportunities.

Despite being underdogs with a +130 moneyline, the Athletics’ offense has been productive, ranking 11th in MLB this season. Their best hitter has been on a tear lately, recording a .520 batting average over the past week. This could provide the spark needed to challenge Rodon and keep the game competitive.

With a game total set at 9.5 runs, bettors should pay close attention to how these pitchers match up against the opposing lineups. The Yankees may be the favorites, but the Athletics have the potential to surprise in this pivotal matchup.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
  Carlos Rodon is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics Insights

• JP Sears – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  JP Sears has utilized his slider 9.4% more often this season (43.2%) than he did last season (33.8%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Gio Urshela – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Gio Urshela’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.7-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Athletics have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Soderstrom, Lawrence Butler, Brent Rooker).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 53% ROI)