Watch the Game Highlights for Twins vs Angels – Monday, September 08, 2025

Minnesota Twins

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Los Angeles Angels

On September 8, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Minnesota Twins at Angel Stadium in what promises to be an intriguing match-up between two struggling teams. The Angels, with a record of 67-76, and the Twins, sitting at 63-80, both find themselves with below-average performances this season. The Angels will look to capitalize on their power-hitting capabilities, ranking 6th in MLB with 198 home runs, against Minnesota’s pitching, as Simeon Woods Richard takes the mound.

Caden Dana is projected to start for the Angels. While Dana’s ERA of 4.91 is below average, his xERA of 4.04 indicates he may have been unlucky thus far and could improve moving forward. Dana’s projected performance today is expected to be underwhelming, averaging just 4.9 innings with 2.9 earned runs allowed. In contrast, Woods Richard has been a decent option for the Twins with a 4.53 ERA, but his higher xFIP of 5.18 suggests he could be due for a downturn in performance.

The matchup is further complicated by the Angels’ offense, which ranks 22nd overall despite their power. In contrast, Minnesota’s lineup is only slightly better, coming in at 19th. Given the projections, the Angels are favored with a moneyline of -125, reflecting a 53% implied win probability, yet their performance against flyball pitchers like Woods Richard may tip the scales in their favor.

With both teams appearing to battle through struggles, expect a closely contested game, especially considering the high Game Total of 9.5 runs. The Angels will look to leverage their power against a pitcher who tends to elevate the ball, setting the stage for an entertaining series opener.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson may not go more than a couple frames considering he will be treated as more of an opener.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Luke Keaschall – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Luke Keaschall has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 80.9-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Minnesota Twins – 2H Moneyline
  The Minnesota Twins bullpen profiles as the 6th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Typically, hitters like Mike Trout who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Simeon Woods Richard.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Mike Trout projects as the 20th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 106 games (+12.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 away games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)