Chicago Cubs
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Philadelphia Phillies
+160O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-185
(-110/-110)-185
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+160)Out of all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Miguel Amaya – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Amaya has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .346 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .274.Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
- The 10% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs makes them the #5 offense in MLB since the start of last season by this stat.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)Cristopher Sanchez has averaged 18.7 outs per GS since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Alec Bohm – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Alec Bohm is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Brandon Marsh – Over/Under Total BasesBrandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.