Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Pirates vs Cubs - Friday, September 11th, 2026

+165O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-190

Wilber Dotel will “start” for Pittsburgh Pirates today but will function as an opener and may not stay in the game more than a couple innings.
Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
Konnor Griffin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Konnor Griffin is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Shota Imanaga’s four-seam fastball rate has fallen by 7.7% from last year to this one (48.7% to 41%) .
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the past 14 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-190)
The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Ian Happ – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)
Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)

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