TV Channel Information for Mets vs Reds – Saturday September 6, 2025

New York Mets

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Cincinnati Reds

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the New York Mets on September 6, 2025, the stakes of this National League matchup are heightened. The Reds, sitting at 70-71, are looking to build momentum after a tough loss in yesterday’s game, while the Mets, at 76-65, are riding a more successful wave after a recent victory.

This game features a compelling pitching duel between two right-handers: Brady Singer for the Reds and Jonah Tong for the Mets. Singer, ranked 107th among MLB starters, has shown flashes of potential this season with a 12-9 record and a 4.08 ERA. However, his projections indicate a challenging outing ahead, as he’s expected to allow about 3.0 earned runs and struggle with 5.3 hits and 2.0 walks during his average 5.1 innings on the mound.

In contrast, Jonah Tong has made a significant impact in his limited time, boasting a 1-0 record and an impressive 1.80 ERA over just one start. The projections suggest he may face difficulties too, but his underlying numbers hint at better outcomes going forward, particularly given his low FIP of 0.74.

Offensively, the Mets come into this game with the 4th best offense in MLB, highlighted by a recent surge from their top hitter, who has racked up 10 hits and 11 RBIs over the past week. Meanwhile, the Reds’ offense, ranking 17th, will need to step up against a solid Mets bullpen, which is slightly ahead in the Power Rankings at 17th compared to the Reds’ 19th.

With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs, the betting markets imply a close contest, favoring the Mets slightly with a moneyline of -135. The Reds’ average implied team total of 4.24 runs suggests they will need a strong performance from Singer and their offense to stay competitive.

New York Mets Insights

• Jonah Tong – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Jonah Tong has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of matching up with 6 same-handed batters in today’s outing.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform worse against same-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be worse against a right-handed hitter). Losing this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Starling Marte – Over/Under Hits
  Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York Mets – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Mets’ bullpen profiles as the 9th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Among all starters, Brady Singer’s fastball spin rate of 2438 rpm ranks in the 84th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Austin Hays – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Austin Hays has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Spencer Steer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 109 games (+22.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 89 games (+12.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+165/-215)
  Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)