TV Channel Information for Dodgers vs Mariners – Sunday September 28, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Seattle Mariners

As the Seattle Mariners host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 28, 2025, both teams find themselves in strong positions as the season winds down. The Mariners are enjoying a solid season with a record of 90-71, while the Dodgers are slightly ahead at 92-69. Both teams are not far behind in the Power Rankings, with the Mariners sitting at 10th and the Dodgers at 2nd, indicating the potential for a thrilling matchup.

In their most recent game, the Mariners put forth a notable performance, coming off a series win against the Dodgers where they showcased both their power and depth. This matchup promises to be exciting as the teams are evenly matched, with both sides having impressive offensive rankings—Seattle ranks 3rd in home runs, while Los Angeles is 2nd overall.

On the mound, Bryce Miller is projected to start for the Mariners. Although he holds a less-than-stellar ERA of 5.53, his advanced metrics suggest he may have been unlucky this season, as his xFIP is notably lower at 4.54. Miller’s ability to project 5.5 innings while allowing just 2.2 earned runs could play a pivotal role in keeping the game close.

Conversely, Clayton Kershaw, with a strong record of 10-2 and an ERA of 3.52, is set to take the hill for the Dodgers. While his xFIP indicates he may be due for a decline, his recent performances and low strikeout rate might give him an edge against the high-strikeout Mariners lineup.

Expect a tightly contested game, with both teams projected to score around 4.00 runs. As the Mariners look to capitalize on their home-field advantage at T-Mobile Park, this game is crucial as they push for a postseason spot.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Clayton Kershaw’s fastball velocity of 88.4 mph ranks in the 3rd percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Michael Conforto – Over/Under Hits
  Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The underlying talent of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense today (.314 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .331 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryce Miller – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Bryce Miller is projected to average 16.3 outs in this outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Randy Arozarena has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 98.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
  The Seattle Mariners bullpen projects as the 6th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games at home (+17.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)