TV Channel Information for Dodgers vs Mariners – Sunday September 28, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Seattle Mariners

As the Seattle Mariners prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 28, 2025, both teams are in strong positions as they vie for postseason contention. The Mariners currently hold a record of 90-71, while the Dodgers sit slightly ahead at 92-69. This matchup is crucial as both teams look to solidify their playoff aspirations. The Mariners are coming off a tough loss to the Dodgers, who prevailed 5-3 in their last encounter.

The pitching matchup features Seattle’s Bryce Miller against Los Angeles’ Clayton Kershaw. Miller, despite being ranked as the 152nd best starting pitcher in MLB, has shown flashes of potential this season, with a 4-5 record and a 5.53 ERA. His recent performance includes a 6-inning outing where he allowed 3 earned runs, signaling room for improvement. The projections suggest he might have been unlucky this year, as his xFIP sits at 4.54, indicating he could perform better moving forward.

On the other hand, Kershaw has been a reliable ace for the Dodgers, boasting a 10-2 record and a solid 3.52 ERA. Ranked 64th among starting pitchers, he has shown effective control, although his xFIP suggests he may face some regression. Kershaw’s ability to limit home runs will be key against a Mariners lineup that ranks 3rd in MLB with 238 home runs.

Offensively, the Mariners rank 10th in MLB overall but excel in power, hitting the 3rd most home runs. In contrast, the Dodgers possess the 2nd best offense, making this a compelling clash of strengths. With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, betting markets indicate a closely contested matchup, reflected in the Mariners’ +110 moneyline and the Dodgers’ -130.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Clayton Kershaw’s fastball velocity of 88.4 mph ranks in the 3rd percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Michael Conforto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-135)
  The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryce Miller – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-195/+150)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bryce Miller is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-least on the slate today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97-mph average to last year’s 94.9-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Seattle Mariners bats jointly grade out 6th- in the league for power this year when using their 9.7% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (+115)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games at home (+17.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+550/-1000)
  Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.10 Units / 278% ROI)