TV Channel Information for Cardinals vs Braves – Tuesday April 22, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals

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Atlanta Braves

On April 22, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Truist Park in the second game of their series. Both teams have struggled early in the season, with the Braves sitting at 9-13 and the Cardinals slightly behind at 9-14. In their last matchup, the Braves edged out the Cardinals 7-6, showcasing the offensive firepower that both lineups possess despite their overall records.

Scott Blewett is projected to take the mound for the Braves. Although he has yet to start a game this season, Blewett has made four appearances out of the bullpen, boasting an impressive ERA of 1.00. However, his 2.70 xFIP suggests that he may not be able to maintain such stellar numbers. Blewett’s average projection of 4.7 innings pitched and 2.6 earned runs allowed indicates he might struggle against a Cardinals offense that ranks 6th in the league.

On the other side, Andre Pallante is set to start for St. Louis. With a 2-1 record and a solid ERA of 3.22, Pallante has shown he can compete, although his 3.89 xERA indicates he too might be due for some regression. He projects to pitch 5.3 innings and allow 2.8 earned runs, which could be enough to keep the Cardinals in contention.

The Braves’ offense, ranked 18th overall, has shown flashes of power with their 9th ranking in home runs, while the Cardinals rank 2nd in batting average, showcasing their ability to get on base. With the Braves favored at -145 and an implied team total of 4.85 runs, they’ll look to build on their recent win and capitalize on Blewett’s unexpected success. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, with an implied total of 4.15 runs, will need to harness their offensive strengths to even the series.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Andre Pallante’s 93-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.5-mph drop off from last year’s 94.5-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Pedro Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.7-mph EV last year has fallen to 83.2-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Scott Blewett – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Scott Blewett to be on a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Orlando Arcia – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Orlando Arcia are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-140)
  The Atlanta Braves projected batting order profiles as the 4th-best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-140)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-130)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
  Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)