TV Channel Information for Cardinals vs Braves – Tuesday April 22, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals logo

St. Louis Cardinals

@
Atlanta Braves logo

Atlanta Braves

+120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)
-145

As the Atlanta Braves prepare to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on April 22, 2025, both teams are struggling to find their footing this season. The Braves sit at 9-13, while the Cardinals are slightly behind at 9-14. With neither team making a strong case for contention, this matchup becomes crucial for both sides to gain momentum.

In their previous meeting on April 21, the Braves edged out the Cardinals with a narrow 7-6 victory. This win may provide a slight morale boost for Atlanta, especially as they look to build on their offensive performance, which ranks as the 19th best in MLB. The Braves have shown some power, ranking 9th in home runs, but their overall inconsistency has kept them from a better record.

On the mound, the Braves are projected to start Michael Petersen, who has yet to establish himself this season with no starts and an overall lackluster projection, including a troubling average of 1.2 hits allowed per inning. Meanwhile, the Cardinals will counter with Andre Pallante, who has been an effective option thus far, boasting a solid ERA of 3.22 and a win-loss record of 2-1 over four starts. Pallante’s ability to pitch deeper into games—projected at 5.3 innings—could be a significant factor in this matchup.

The Braves will rely heavily on their best hitter, who has been performing well recently, batting .417 over the last week. However, the Cardinals’ offense, ranking 7th best in MLB, poses a greater threat, particularly with their top player enjoying a strong season with a .356 batting average and .925 OPS.

With the Game Total set at 8.5 runs, this matchup promises to be close, as betting markets reflect a competitive atmosphere. The Braves have a current moneyline of -135, suggesting they are favored to win, but given the overall performance of both teams, this matchup remains wide open.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

  • Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
    Andre Pallante’s 93-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.5-mph drop off from last year’s 94.5-mph figure.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
  • Pedro Pages – Over/Under Total Bases
    Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.7-mph EV last year has fallen to 83.2-mph.
    Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
  • Nolan Arenado – Over/Under Total Bases
    Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
    Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-145)
    Nathan Wiles is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue in the majors in this game.
    Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
  • Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
    Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-145)
    The Atlanta Braves projected batting order profiles as the 4th-best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
    Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-145)
    The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
    The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)