TV Channel Information for Braves vs Giants – Thursday August 15, 2024

Atlanta Braves

@

San Francisco Giants

As the San Francisco Giants host the Atlanta Braves for the fourth game of their series on August 15, 2024, both teams are looking to solidify their standing in the National League. The Giants sit at .500 with a record of 61-61, while the Braves are slightly ahead at 63-56, showcasing an above-average season thus far.

In their most recent game, the Braves showcased their offensive prowess by putting up a strong performance, helping them pull ahead in the series. With both teams featuring elite starting pitchers, this matchup promises to be a compelling duel. The Giants are projected to start Logan Webb, who currently ranks as the 10th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stats Power Rankings. Webb boasts a solid 3.32 ERA this season, though his xERA suggests he may be due for some regression.

On the other hand, Max Fried, projected to take the mound for the Braves, ranks 8th in Power Rankings and has a respectable 3.56 ERA. His ability to strike out batters is evident, with projections indicating he will average 6.4 strikeouts today, which could pose a challenge for a Giants offense that ranks 15th in MLB.

While both teams have struggled with power, the Braves have an edge, ranking 10th in home runs compared to the Giants’ 23rd. However, San Francisco’s bullpen is the best in MLB, providing them with a crucial advantage late in games.

With both teams currently sitting at an implied total of just 3.50 runs, this game has all the makings of a low-scoring affair. As they look to bounce back, the Giants will rely on Webb’s consistency against a Braves lineup that has shown offensive firepower in recent matchups.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Max Fried – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Max Fried has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 7 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Travis d’Arnaud – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Travis d’Arnaud has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  The Atlanta Braves bullpen profiles as the 9th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Logan Webb – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Logan Webb’s 2087-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 13th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Matt Chapman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Matt Chapman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 103 games (+23.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 68% ROI)