
Texas Rangers

Kansas City Royals
(-110/-110)-140
On August 20, 2025, the Kansas City Royals will host the Texas Rangers at Kauffman Stadium for the third game of their series. The Royals currently sit at 65-61, enjoying an above-average season, while the Rangers are at 62-65, marking an average campaign. In their last matchup, the Royals secured a 5-2 victory, extending their winning momentum into this game.
The Royals will send Noah Cameron to the mound, who has been performing well with a 2.47 ERA this season, ranking him as the 89th best starting pitcher in MLB. Cameron’s recent form includes a solid outing on August 15, where he allowed just 1 earned run over 5 innings. However, projections suggest he may be due for a regression, as his xFIP of 4.17 indicates he could be more vulnerable than his ERA suggests.
On the other hand, the Rangers will counter with Caleb Boushley, whose struggles have been evident, as he ranks among the worst pitchers in the league. Boushley’s ERA stands at 4.91, and he projects to pitch only 2.3 innings today. His low strikeout rate and tendency to allow earned runs could be a significant disadvantage against a Royals offense that, while ranked 24th overall, has shown flashes of potential.
Despite the Royals’ offensive struggles this season, they will benefit from a favorable matchup against Boushley, who has been unable to find his footing. The projections suggest that the Royals have a high implied team total of 4.50 runs, indicating confidence in their ability to capitalize on Boushley’s inefficiencies. With the Rangers’ bullpen ranked 8th best in MLB, this matchup could hinge on the effectiveness of both starting pitchers as the game unfolds.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Wyatt Langford has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.2-mph over the past week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen projects as the 10th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Noah Cameron – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)Given his reverse platoon split, Noah Cameron should be in good shape going up against 7 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side today.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Kyle Isbel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Kyle Isbel is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Texas (#3-best of all teams today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)In today’s game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.9% rate (95th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games at home (+18.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 114 games (+8.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)Ezequiel Duran has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.35 Units / 76% ROI)