Track the Live Score for D-Backs vs Angels – 7/13/2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Angel Stadium on July 13, 2025, both teams find themselves in a tight race, with the Angels holding a record of 47-48 and the Diamondbacks at 46-50. With both squads hovering just below the .500 mark, every game counts, especially as the playoffs loom on the horizon.

In their last matchup yesterday, the Angels emerged victorious with a 10-5 win, showcasing their offensive power, which ranks 5th in home runs this season. However, they struggle with a batting average that sits at 24th, suggesting inconsistency at the plate. The Angels are projected to start right-hander Jose Soriano, who, despite a rocky outing recently where he gave up 5 earned runs in just 4 innings, ranks 34th among MLB starters. His high groundball rate of 67% could serve him well against the Diamondbacks, who have a potent offense but also draw a lot of walks, potentially playing into Soriano’s struggles with control.

On the other side, the Diamondbacks will counter with Merrill Kelly, who has been impressive this season with a 3.41 ERA and a solid 7-5 record. Kelly’s ability to limit walks (6.5 BB%) is crucial, especially against an Angels lineup that is known for being patient at the plate. The D-Backs boast the 3rd best offense in MLB, exemplified by their strong home run output and the recent performance of their best hitter, who has been hot of late with a .333 batting average over the last week.

With the game total set at a high 9.0 runs, betting markets are leaning toward a close contest, reflected in the Angels’ moneyline of -120 and the Diamondbacks at +100. Given the Angels’ recent offensive surge and the potential for a bounce-back from Soriano, they could provide value against expectations in this pivotal matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Merrill Kelly – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Recording 17.5 outs per game per started this year on average, Merrill Kelly places him the 87th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Jose Soriano
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jose Herrera – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Herrera ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jose Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Jose Soriano has utilized his four-seamer 5.7% less often this year (8.1%) than he did last season (13.8%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under Stolen Bases
  Jorge Soler has paced 0 steals per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 0th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Jo Adell, Jorge Soler, Logan O’Hoppe).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line -1.0 (+125)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+360/-530)
  Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 79% ROI)