Track the Live Score for Angels vs Blue Jays – 7/05/2025

Los Angeles Angels

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Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels face off in the second game of their series today, July 5, 2025. The Blue Jays, currently sitting at 50-38, are having a solid season, while the Angels are struggling with a record of 43-44. In yesterday’s game, the Blue Jays edged out the Angels with a close 4-3 victory.

Max Scherzer is projected to take the mound for Toronto, showcasing his experience and talent as he ranks as the 56th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. Despite a less-than-ideal ERA of 4.85 this year, his 3.86 xFIP indicates he may be due for better results. Scherzer pitched well in his last start, allowing only 2 earned runs over 5 innings, striking out 7 batters. His ability to generate strikeouts will be crucial against an Angels lineup that ranks 20th overall in offense.

Jack Kochanowicz will start for Los Angeles, but he has struggled this season with a 5.44 ERA and a disappointing 3-8 win/loss record. His low strikeout rate of 16.2 K% makes it difficult for him to capitalize against a Blue Jays offense that ranks 12th overall and 4th in batting average. The projections suggest that Kochanowicz could find it tough to navigate through a lineup featuring some strong hitters.

With the Blue Jays holding a significant advantage in both starting pitching and bullpen strength—ranked 4th overall compared to the Angels’ last-place status—the odds favor Toronto to continue their winning ways. The Blue Jays have an implied team total of 5.17 runs, reflecting confidence in their offense to deliver against Kochanowicz and exploit his vulnerabilities.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jack Kochanowicz has utilized his secondary pitches 12.1% more often this year (33.6%) than he did last year (21.5%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Extreme flyball batters like Mike Trout are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Jorge Soler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Max Scherzer – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  In his last start, Max Scherzer wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+195)
  Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.3% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+100)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+175)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+150/-195)
  Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 55% ROI)