Stream the Red Sox vs Giants Game Live – 6/20/2025

Boston Red Sox

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San Francisco Giants

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Boston Red Sox at Oracle Park on June 20, 2025, both teams look to build momentum after contrasting results in their last games. The Giants edged out a victory against their opponent, winning 2-1, while the Red Sox managed a win as well, defeating their recent rivals 3-1. This Interleague matchup serves as a critical series opener, showcasing two teams with differing standings and offensive capabilities.

The Giants currently sit at 42-33, enjoying a solid season despite their offense ranking as the 22nd best in MLB. While the numbers suggest struggles, the team’s pitching, particularly their bullpen, ranks 1st in the league, providing a strong backbone. Hayden Birdsong is set to take the mound for the Giants. Although his advanced stats indicate he is the 176th best starting pitcher, his ERA of 2.79 is superb, hinting at a potentially favorable outing. However, projections suggest he might be due for a regression, as indicated by his xFIP of 3.97. Birdsong has shown flashes of brilliance, having pitched 6 innings with 3 earned runs and 6 strikeouts in his last start.

On the other side, the Red Sox, with a record of 39-37, boast a potent offense ranked 8th in MLB. Hunter Dobbins, projected as the starter, has a solid win-loss record of 4-1, but his 3.74 ERA suggests he can be hit. Projections call for him to pitch an average of only 4.9 innings, which may place pressure on an average Red Sox bullpen ranked 13th.

Given the Giants’ strong performance metrics and a slight edge provided by their top-ranking bullpen, they may be positioned to capitalize on the Red Sox’s inconsistencies, making them a team to watch as they look to assert their dominance in this series.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Because groundball hitters have a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Hunter Dobbins and his 44.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this outing squaring off against 3 opposing GB hitters.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Marcelo Mayer has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Boston’s 90.7-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in Major League Baseball: #1 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Hayden Birdsong – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Hayden Birdsong’s slider rate has increased by 5.9% from last season to this one (18.4% to 24.3%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Mike Yastrzemski is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Boston (#1-best on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+105/-125)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 away games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+610/-1200)
  Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 70% ROI)