Stream the Rangers vs Angels Game Live – 7/10/2025

Texas Rangers

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Los Angeles Angels

On July 10, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Texas Rangers at Angel Stadium for the fourth game of their series. Both teams are currently struggling, with the Angels holding a record of 45-47 and the Rangers at 45-48. The Angels find themselves in a position where they need to capitalize on their home field advantage, particularly as they look to build some momentum. In their previous matchup, the Angels fell short, which adds pressure to bounce back in front of their fans.

The Angels are projected to start Jack Kochanowicz, a right-handed pitcher with a less-than-stellar 3-8 record and a troubling ERA of 5.42. Despite his struggles, advanced projections suggest he may have been unlucky this season, indicating potential for improvement. Kochanowicz’s average performance includes pitching around 5.5 innings and allowing approximately 3.0 earned runs, but he has also been prone to giving up 5.8 hits and 1.5 walks per outing, which could be a concern against any lineup.

On the other side, the Rangers will counter with Patrick Corbin, a left-handed pitcher who has also had a rocky season with a 5-7 record and a more respectable ERA of 4.18. However, Corbin has faced challenges in terms of strikeouts and hits allowed, projecting to surrender about 3.6 earned runs and 6.1 hits in 4.9 innings of work. Corbin’s low-strikeout approach might play into the Angels’ hands, as they rank 2nd in MLB for strikeouts, presenting an opportunity for the Angels’ hitters to capitalize.

With the Angels’ offense ranking 22nd overall yet boasting a strong home run capability, they have the potential to score big. The projections suggest a high-scoring game with a total of 9.5 runs, reflecting the volatility of both pitchers and the offensive dynamics at play. Betting markets have the Angels at +100, indicating they could be undervalued given their potential to exploit Corbin’s weaknesses.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  Patrick Corbin projects for 14.5 outs in today’s game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Kyle Higashioka – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Kyle Higashioka is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• It may be best to expect better results for the Texas Rangers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Jack Kochanowicz’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (34.3% compared to 21.5% last year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Jorge Soler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen ranks as the worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-175)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+16.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)