Stream the Orioles vs Rangers Game Live – 6/30/2025

Baltimore Orioles

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Texas Rangers

The Texas Rangers will face off against the Baltimore Orioles on June 30, 2025, at Globe Life Field for the first game of their series. Both teams are struggling this season, with the Rangers at 41-43, reflecting an average year, while the Orioles sit at 36-47, marking a significantly tough campaign. Yesterday, the Rangers fell to the Orioles, losing 6-4, as both teams continue to look for momentum in a challenging season.

Starting for the Rangers, Patrick Corbin brings a disappointing 4-7 record and a 4.24 ERA, which ranks him as one of the lower-tier pitchers in MLB. Corbin is projected to pitch around 5.3 innings while allowing an average of 2.7 earned runs today. His last start was particularly rough, giving up 5 earned runs over 5 innings. Against Corbin, the Orioles’ offense, ranked 19th in MLB and averaging 4.05 runs, could find some opportunities to capitalize today.

Trevor Rogers, on the mound for the Orioles, boasts a sharp 1.62 ERA this season with a 1-0 record. His last outing saw him pitch 8 innings of scoreless baseball, which is impressive. Rogers projects to throw about 5.4 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs. However, he does present a potential concern with a 5.4 hits projection—considered below average.

From a betting perspective, the Rangers’ current moneyline stands at -105, suggesting a close matchup against the Orioles, who are at -115. With both teams struggling offensively, hitting stats reveal that the Rangers rank 29th in MLB for scoring potential and 28th in batting average, indicating they may have difficulty against a solid pitcher like Rogers. This matchup presents an intriguing showdown, as the Orioles hope to build upon their recent victory while the Rangers seek to snap a minor skid and prove their mettle at home.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Trevor Rogers has used his sinker 6.9% less often this season (17%) than he did last year (23.9%).
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Gunnar Henderson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 99.5-mph over the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Today’s version of the Orioles projected lineup is weaker than usual, as their .317 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .330 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Patrick Corbin’s fastball velocity of 90.6 mph is in the 12th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Marcus Semien are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor Rogers.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Texas Rangers has been 114.7 mph this year, ranking them as the #26 team in baseball by this metric.
  Explain: If a player can hit the ball hard even once, it has great predictive power over his ability to do it again. If he’s never hit the ball hard, it’s a sign of a lack of power.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 away games (+17.03 Units / 44% ROI)
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
  Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)