Starting Lineup for Yankees vs Dodgers – June 01, 2025

New York Yankees

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Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the New York Yankees at Dodger Stadium on June 1, 2025, in what promises to be an exciting Interleague matchup between two of the best teams in baseball. Both squads are having outstanding seasons, sitting just a half-game apart in the standings, with the Dodgers at 36-22 and the Yankees at 35-22. Last night, Los Angeles took the first game of this three-game series, adding pressure on New York to respond and avoid falling behind.

Dodgers starting pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto enters this game as a standout performer, currently ranked as the 4th best starting pitcher in MLB according to THE BAT X. With a solid 6-3 record and an impressive ERA of 1.97 in 11 starts this year, he’s projected to toss around 5.7 innings while allowing just 2.3 earned runs. However, while his groundball percentage of 59% gives him an edge against the Yankees’ power-laden lineup, the projections indicate he may be due for some regression.

On the other hand, Yankees starter Ryan Yarbrough has struggled in comparison, ranked as a below-average pitcher. His 3.06 ERA belies a less favorable xFIP of 3.72, indicating his success may not hold up under pressure. With a projected average of just 4.3 innings pitched today and 2.8 earned runs allowed, he may be tested by a Dodgers offense that ranks as the 2nd best in MLB with a league-high 94 home runs.

The Dodgers are heavily favored with a moneyline of -170, and their impressive home offense should make it difficult for Yarbrough to keep the game close. With the Game Total set at a high 9.0 runs, bettors might expect an offensive showcase from Los Angeles, making the Dodgers a strong play in this matchup.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+155)
  Ryan Yarbrough is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #3 HR venue in MLB today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  The Barrel% of Anthony Volpe has significantly improved, with an increase from 4% last year to 9.5% this season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-200)
  Given the 1.16 discrepancy between Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 1.97 ERA and his 3.13 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to see worse results going forward.
  Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 102.2-mph average to last season’s 99-mph figure.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-175)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.72 Units / 21% ROI)
• Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Will Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.40 Units / 59% ROI)