Simulation and Insights for Brewers vs Dodgers Match Preview – Saturday August 15, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-185/+145)
  Tallying 18.1 outs per GS this year on average, Jacob Misiorowski places in the 95th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Justin Wrobleski will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shohei Ohtani as the 11th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 49% ROI)