See the Weather Forecast for Mariners vs Rangers – Saturday, June 28th, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Texas Rangers

The Texas Rangers host the Seattle Mariners on June 28, 2025, in a pivotal matchup that follows an intense game yesterday, where the Mariners edged out the Rangers 7-6. Currently, the Rangers sit at 40-42, showcasing an average season, while the Mariners are slightly better at 42-39, reflecting an above-average performance.

On the mound, the Rangers will send Kumar Rocker, who has struggled this season with a 6.68 ERA and a 3-4 record across 8 starts. Although his advanced metrics suggest he may have been unlucky, projecting him to allow 2.2 earned runs and pitch just 4.9 innings today indicates a challenging outing ahead. Comparatively, Bryan Woo of the Mariners has been impressive, boasting a 3.12 ERA and a 7-4 record over 15 starts. His ability to pitch deeper into games, averaging 6.1 innings, gives Seattle a significant edge in this matchup.

Offensively, the Rangers rank a dismal 28th in MLB, with their batting average placing them 29th overall. This underwhelming performance is compounded by their struggles against Woo, who is known for his low walk rate. In contrast, the Mariners rank 8th in MLB offensively, bolstered by a powerful lineup that includes a player with 32 home runs this season.

With the Rangers’ current moneyline set at +105, suggesting a close contest, the Mariners’ stronger pitching and offensive capabilities make them the favorites in this matchup. As both teams vie for momentum, the Mariners look to capitalize on their recent success, while the Rangers aim to turn their fortunes around after a tough loss.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  Bryan Woo has tallied 19.1 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 98th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Texas Rangers Insights

• Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Kumar Rocker will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Jonah Heim – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Texas Rangers has been 114.7 mph this year, making them the #26 squad in MLB by this stat.
  Explain: If a player can hit the ball hard even once, it has great predictive power over his ability to do it again. If he’s never hit the ball hard, it’s a sign of a lack of power.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 68 games (+20.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)