See the Weather Forecast for Blue Jays vs Dodgers – Sunday, August 10th, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays logo

Toronto Blue Jays

@
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles Dodgers

+160O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)
-185

As the Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays on August 10, 2025, fans can expect an exciting matchup between two teams in outstanding form. The Dodgers currently hold a record of 68-49, while the Blue Jays are not far behind at 68-50. Their recent game featured the Dodgers pulling off a sensational victory, further solidifying their strong season.

Projected to take the mound for the Dodgers is Tyler Glasnow, a right-handed pitcher ranked 21st among starting pitchers according to advanced metrics. His performance this season has been solid with a 3.06 ERA and a 1-1 record over 10 starts. However, Glasnow’s elevated 4.47 FIP suggests he may have been a bit fortunate thus far, which could lead to some vulnerability against a potent Blue Jays offense.

Toronto counters with Eric Lauer, a left-handed pitcher whose performance has been less favorable; he holds a 2.59 ERA but ranks among the lower tiers of MLB pitchers. Lauer’s 44% flyball rate could spell trouble against a Dodgers lineup that has been extremely powerful, ranking 2nd in home runs with 173 this season.

From an offensive standpoint, the Dodgers rank 2nd in the league, showcasing their explosive capabilities, while the Blue Jays claim the top spot as the best offense in MLB. Despite this, the projections indicate that the Dodgers are more likely to score runs, with an implied team total of 4.85, compared to the Blue Jays’ 3.65.

With Glasnow’s high strikeout rate facing off against a low-strikeout Blue Jays lineup, the key will be whether he can capitalize on his strengths while managing the slugging potential of the Dodgers. Given the Dodgers’ strong offensive metrics and home-field advantage, they remain the solid favorites heading into this high-stakes showdown.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Eric Lauer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
    Out of all starters, Eric Lauer’s fastball velocity of 90.9 mph is in the 19th percentile this year.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
  • Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
    Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays (19 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate.
    Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
    Tyler Glasnow has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 3.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.
    Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
  • Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
    Freddie Freeman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.5-mph over the last 14 days.
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
    The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 5th-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

  • Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
    The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 86 games (+20.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+105/-135)
    Tyler Glasnow has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 69% ROI)