Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
(-110/-110)+135
As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on March 27, 2025, both teams find themselves struggling in the standings, with the White Sox ranked 30th in MLB and the Angels sitting at 26th. This matchup marks the first in a series between these two clubs, both of whom are looking to improve their fortunes.
In their last game, the Angels fell to a tough opponent, while the White Sox managed to secure a victory, which could provide a much-needed boost in confidence. However, the White Sox offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 30th in team batting average and home runs, indicating a significant struggle to produce runs. Their projected team total of just 3.39 runs for this matchup reflects these offensive woes.
On the mound, the White Sox will send Sean Burke to the hill. Despite a strong showing in his last start—where he pitched five innings with no earned runs—Burke’s overall season performance has been less than stellar. He ranks 205th among starting pitchers, with projections indicating he will struggle to pitch more than 4.7 innings while allowing 2.1 earned runs and striking out only 4.8 batters on average.
In contrast, the Angels will counter with Yusei Kikuchi, who has been solid this season, ranking 79th among starting pitchers. Kikuchi projects to pitch around 5.2 innings, allowing 2.2 earned runs and striking out 6.1 batters on average. Although his hits and walks allowed projections are concerning, he has been more effective than Burke this season.
Given the disparity in pitching performance and the White Sox’s struggling offense, the Angels appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. With a strong bullpen ranked 1st in MLB, the Angels have the potential to capitalize on any shortcomings from the White Sox lineup, making them the favorites heading into this game.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Yusei Kikuchi – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Yusei Kikuchi encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Mike Trout).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Andrew Vaughn – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-235/+175)Andrew Vaughn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Chicago White Sox – 2H MoneylineThe Chicago White Sox bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+100/-130)Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 102% ROI)