See the Score for Rockies vs Dodgers Game – April 14th, 2025

Colorado Rockies logo

Colorado Rockies

@
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles Dodgers

+285O/U: 8.5
(-115/-105)
-345

On April 14, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Colorado Rockies at Dodger Stadium in a National League West matchup. With both teams sitting in vastly different positions this season, the Dodgers are off to a strong start with an 11-6 record, while the Rockies struggle at 3-12. The Rockies recently dropped a game to the Dodgers, and they continue to find themselves in a tough spot this season.

Dustin May is set to take the mound for Los Angeles, and he brings an impressive 0.82 ERA alongside a 0-1 record this year. Though his xFIP of 4.26 suggests he might be due for some regression, his ability to keep the ball on the ground (60 GB%) could serve him well against a Rockies offense that has hit just 9 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in MLB. May’s low strikeout rate (16.3 K%) could actually be an advantage against a Rockies lineup that ranks 2nd in strikeouts.

Antonio Senzatela, projected to start for Colorado, has had a rough start with an ERA of 5.14 and a record of 0-2. His peripheral numbers indicate that while he might have been unlucky, his projections remain concerning as he faces a potent Dodgers lineup. The Dodgers’ offense ranks 1st in home runs and 8th overall, suggesting they have the firepower to take advantage of Senzatela’s struggles.

With the Dodgers heavily favored in this matchup, their implied team total of 5.48 runs reflects confidence in their offense. This game will be critical for the Rockies, who need a turnaround to salvage their season. As the game total sits at 8.5 runs, expect a substantial showing from the Dodgers as they look to assert their dominance at home against a struggling Rockies squad.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+240)
    Antonio Senzatela is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #5 HR venue among all major league parks — in this matchup.
    Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
  • Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
    Extreme groundball hitters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dustin May.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Antonio Senzatela – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
    Hunter Goodman, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Dustin May – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
    Due to his huge platoon split, Dustin May will be at a disadvantage going up against 6 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side today.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
  • Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
    Tommy Edman is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
    The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 95 of their last 175 games (+6.01 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
    Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)