See the Score for Padres vs Giants Game – June 4th, 2025

San Diego Padres

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San Francisco Giants

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to face the San Diego Padres on June 4, 2025, at Oracle Park, both teams are looking to gain ground in a tightly contested series. The Giants, currently sitting at 33-28 and having an above-average season, are aiming to bounce back after dropping the last game against the Padres. Meanwhile, the Padres hold a strong record of 35-24, showcasing a great season thus far.

The Giants are slated to start Kyle Harrison, a left-handed pitcher who has had a mixed year with a 2.51 ERA over just 2 starts. Despite his good ERA, advanced projections suggest he may not maintain this level of success, as his xFIP of 3.51 indicates he has been somewhat lucky. Notably, Harrison has been a high-strikeout pitcher (28.6 K%), but he’ll face a Padres lineup that has been the least strikeout-prone in MLB, which may hinder his ability to capitalize on his strengths.

On the other side, Nick Pivetta takes the mound for the Padres. With a solid 2.74 ERA and a better rank as the 52nd best starting pitcher in MLB according to Power Rankings, Pivetta’s consistency could pose a challenge for a Giants offense ranked 24th in the league. The Padres’ offense, while only 19th overall, has shown flashes of potential and might exploit the Giants’ vulnerabilities.

Given the Giants’ strength in their bullpen, ranked 1st in MLB, they could have an edge late in the game. However, both teams have low implied totals of 3.50 runs, reflecting expectations for a tight and low-scoring affair. As the Giants look to leverage their home field advantage, this matchup presents an intriguing betting opportunity amidst the playoff race tension.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Nick Pivetta – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Nick Pivetta has used his slider 9.1% less often this year (20.1%) than he did last year (29.2%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Xander Bogaerts – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• San Diego Padres – 2H Moneyline
  The San Diego Padres bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  Kyle Harrison turned in a great performance in his previous GS and allowed 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Tyler Fitzgerald – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Tyler Fitzgerald’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.4-mph figure last year has decreased to 82.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• San Diego Padres – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+155/-205)
  Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)