See the Score for Mariners vs Orioles Game – August 14th, 2025

Seattle Mariners

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Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles host the Seattle Mariners on August 14, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Mariners, currently fighting for a playoff position with a solid record of 67-54, face the Orioles, who sit at a disappointing 54-66. After their recent clash, where the Orioles edged out a 4-3 victory, both teams look to gain momentum in this pivotal series.

On the mound, the Orioles are projected to start Tomoyuki Sugano, a right-handed pitcher with a 9-5 record and an ERA of 4.24. Despite being ranked as the 254th best starter in MLB, his recent performance was promising—pitching 7 innings while allowing just 1 earned run in his last start. However, his xERA of 5.68 suggests that he may have benefitted from some luck this season, raising concerns for his sustainability moving forward.

Logan Evans takes the hill for the Mariners, coming off a 3 earned run performance over 5 innings. His ERA of 4.36 is considered average, but like Sugano, he has not shown the consistency expected from a starter vying for a playoff spot. Both pitchers have low strikeout projections, which may favor Seattle’s offense, renowned for its powerful home run capability, ranking 5th in MLB.

The Mariners have been solid offensively, with their best player boasting a remarkable 0.931 OPS this season. In contrast, the Orioles’ offense ranks a troubling 22nd in MLB, highlighting their struggles to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Although the Orioles are underperforming, recent success may suggest a chance to ride the wave of momentum.

With a Game Total set at a high 9.5 runs and the Orioles holding an implied team total of 4.53 runs against the Mariners’ 4.97, this matchup could showcase some fireworks. Betting enthusiasts should keep an eye on the pitching duel as both teams seek to solidify their standing in this closely contested matchup.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Evans – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Logan Evans’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (72.7% this year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (32.0) suggests that Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck this year with his 46.2 actual HR/600.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Tomoyuki Sugano wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his last start and posted 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Alex Jackson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Alex Jackson has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans has a pitch-to-contact profile (6th percentile K%) — great news for Jackson.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• The Baltimore Orioles (25.4% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 115 games (+14.38 Units / 11% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-130)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• Dylan Carlson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 67% ROI)