See the Score for Guardians vs Tigers Game – May 25th, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

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Detroit Tigers

On May 25, 2025, the Detroit Tigers will host the Cleveland Guardians at Comerica Park in a pivotal matchup within the American League Central. The Tigers are riding high with a record of 33-20 this season, while the Guardians sit at 29-22. Following a competitive game yesterday, where the Tigers fell to the Guardians 7-5, both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths in this fourth game of the series.

The Tigers are projected to start Tarik Skubal, who has solidified himself as the top starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. With a 4-2 record and an impressive 2.87 ERA this season, Skubal is expected to pitch 6.2 innings, allowing just 1.5 earned runs and striking out 8.0 batters on average. His ability to dominate opposing hitters could be crucial against a Guardians offense that ranks 23rd in MLB this season.

On the other side, Logan Allen is set to take the mound for Cleveland. Despite a respectable ERA of 3.86, his underlying metrics suggest he may be due for a downturn. Allen’s xFIP of 4.92 indicates he has been somewhat fortunate this season. He will need to navigate a Tigers lineup that ranks 7th in MLB for offensive production, including a strong showing in home runs and batting average.

The projections favor the Tigers significantly, with an implied team total of 4.37 runs, compared to the Guardians’ low total of 2.63 runs. Given the Tigers’ elite pitching and their powerful offense, they appear poised to bounce back after yesterday’s loss and capitalize on their home-field advantage in this matchup.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Logan Allen – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Logan Allen’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (57.5% compared to 51.7% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Nolan Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+140/-180)
  Nolan Jones has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Tarik Skubal’s 97-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 98th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Spencer Torkelson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season’s 90.5-mph figure.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Andy Ibanez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Andy Ibanez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-300)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+250)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• Andy Ibanez – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+490/-850)
  Andy Ibanez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+9.80 Units / 163% ROI)