See the Rangers vs Athletics Matchup Preview and Score Prediction – Monday April 13th, 2026

Texas Rangers

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Athletics

Texas Rangers Insights

• Nathan Eovaldi – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
  Generating 17.4 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Nathan Eovaldi places in the 89th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Ezequiel Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Danny Jansen – Over/Under Total Bases
  Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics Insights

• Luis Severino – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Severino has used his secondary offerings 8.3% more often this season (59.6%) than he did last year (51.3%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under Total Bases
  Max Muncy has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Athletics have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Kurtz, Max Muncy, Denzel Clarke).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+175/-230)
  Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)