Score for Yankees vs Mariners Game – May 13, 2025

New York Yankees

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Seattle Mariners

On May 13, 2025, the Seattle Mariners will host the New York Yankees at T-Mobile Park in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Yankees triumphed over the Mariners 11-5 in their last encounter on May 12, continuing their strong season with a record of 24-17. Meanwhile, the Mariners sit at 22-18, showing promise but still trying to find their footing in the competitive American League.

The Mariners will send Bryan Woo to the mound, who is enjoying a solid season with a 4-1 record and a 3.25 ERA. However, Woo’s recent performance was subpar, as he struggled in his last start, allowing 5 earned runs over 6 innings. He will need to improve against a Yankees offense that ranks 1st in the league in multiple categories, including batting average and home runs. Woo’s tendency to allow fly balls could be problematic against a lineup that has already launched 74 home runs this season.

On the other side, the Yankees will counter with the elite Max Fried, who boasts an impressive 6-0 record and a minuscule 1.05 ERA. Fried’s ability to induce ground balls (51% GB rate) will be pivotal as he faces a Mariners lineup that ranks 4th in home runs. If he can keep the ball on the ground, he may limit the damage from the Mariners’ power hitters.

Despite the Yankees being favored, the Mariners’ offense ranks 7th in the league, and they could surprise if Woo finds his rhythm. The projections suggest a low-scoring affair, with the Game Total set at 7.0 runs, reflecting the strengths of both starting pitchers. Bettors might find value in the Mariners, who are currently underdogs with a moneyline of +120.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-145)
  In his last outing, Max Fried performed well and conceded 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Typically, batters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bryan Woo.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• New York Yankees hitters collectively place in baseball for power this year when judging by their 12.4% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Given that flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Bryan Woo (35.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)
  J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-145)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-175)
  Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 60% ROI)