Review the Brewers vs Dodgers Insights and Game Breakdown – August 14, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)
  Typically, bats like Christian Yelich who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-205)
  Yoshinobu Yamamoto was rolling in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Max Muncy is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Today’s version of the Dodgers projected batting order is weaker than usual, as their .328 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .339 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)