Review Betting Odds and Picks for Mets vs Angels – Sunday, May 3, 2026

New York Mets

@

Los Angeles Angels

New York Mets Insights

• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Jack Kochanowicz has a mean projection of 16.5 outs in today’s game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Extreme groundball bats like Mike Trout generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Los Angeles Angels have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Travis d’Arnaud, Mike Trout, Jorge Soler).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)
  Jo Adell has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)