Review Betting Odds and Picks for Guardians vs Angels – Friday, April 4, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

@

Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels and the Cleveland Guardians will face off on April 4, 2025, in what promises to be a competitive matchup at Angel Stadium. Currently sitting at 4-2, the Angels are in a strong position compared to the Guardians, who are struggling at 2-4. Notably, the Angels recently suffered a tough 12-5 loss against the Seattle Mariners, while the Guardians fell 5-2 to the Detroit Tigers.

On the mound, the Angels are projected to start José Soriano, who is ranked as the 38th best starting pitcher in MLB and boasts an impressive 0.00 ERA this season. Though the projections suggest he might be due for a regression, his recent performance, which included going seven innings with no earned runs in his last start, showcases his potential to dominate. In stark contrast, the Guardians will counter with Gavin Williams, who has a good ERA of 3.60 but is ranked 73rd among starters. Given Soriano’s recent form and the Guardians’ struggles at the plate, he could exploit the Guardians’ below-average offensive rankings.

While the Angels’ offense has its own issues, ranking 51st in MLB, they can still capitalize on a Guardians lineup that ranks 27th overall. With both teams projected to have similar implied totals of around four runs, sharp bettors might favor the Angels, considering their starting pitcher gives them a better chance of success. With the Angels’ bullpen also ranking 8th in MLB, they have the depth to close out a close contest if the bats can support Soriano’s efforts. This game is shaping up to be a keenly contested opening in their series.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Gavin Williams – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  With 6 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Gavin Williams ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bo Naylor, Gabriel Arias, Jhonkensy Noel).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Nolan Schanuel is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen ranks as the 8th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games at home (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 71 away games (+13.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)