Review Athletics vs Mariners Bets and Betting Trends – Friday, September 4, 2026

Athletics

@

Seattle Mariners

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – Moneyline (+180)
  The Athletics infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Lawrence Butler has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-170)
  Tallying 93.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Logan Gilbert checks in at the 84th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 14th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

Betting Trends

• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Carlos Cortes has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)