Recommended Player Prop Bets for Pirates vs Cubs - Sunday April 12, 2026

+115O/U: 12.5
(-110/-110)-135

Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
Bubba Chandler’s 98.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
There has been a decrease in Brandon Lowe’s average exit velocity this season, from 91 mph last year to 82.7 mph now
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Ryan O’Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Jameson Taillon – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
Generating 16.8 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Jameson Taillon places him the 76th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Pittsburgh’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Seiya Suzuki, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-135)
The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 6.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Moises Ballesteros – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
Moises Ballesteros has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)

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