Read the Boxscore for Mets vs Dodgers – Tuesday June 3rd, 2025

New York Mets

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Los Angeles Dodgers

On June 3, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the New York Mets at Dodger Stadium in what promises to be an engaging matchup between two teams enjoying solid seasons. The Dodgers stand at 36-23 while the Mets are slightly ahead at 37-22. Both teams are among the best in the National League, making this a crucial series as they seek to solidify their playoff positions.

In their most recent game, the Dodgers showcased their offensive prowess, continuing their trend as the 1st best offense in MLB by batting .280 with 94 home runs this season. They are projected to face Tylor Megill, a right-handed pitcher with a 3.52 ERA, who has struggled with walks (11.4 BB%) this year. That could be a concern against a Dodgers lineup known for its patience and ability to draw walks.

Clayton Kershaw is set to take the mound for the Dodgers. Though he’s had an average season with a 4.91 ERA and ranks as the 101st best starting pitcher in MLB, projections indicate he may be in for a tough outing. He’s been lucky this season, as highlighted by his elevated 5.54 SIERA, suggesting he might not sustain this level of performance going forward. Kershaw’s high walk rate (12.8 BB%) could be exploited by the Mets, who rank 6th in walks drawn.

With an implied team total of 5.07 runs for the Dodgers, they are favored to win this matchup. However, the Mets’ strong 6th ranked offense should not be overlooked, especially given their ability to capitalize on Kershaw’s control issues. This game could very well be high-scoring, as reflected by the game total of 9.5 runs. As both teams look to make a statement, fans can expect an exciting clash at Dodger Stadium.

New York Mets Insights

• Tylor Megill – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Tylor Megill’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (63.9 vs. 56.3% last season) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Starling Marte – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Typically, batters like Starling Marte who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Clayton Kershaw.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+145/-190)
  Clayton Kershaw’s 89.6-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 5th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)
  In the past week, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-150)
  The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• New York Mets – Moneyline (+125)
  The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+175/-230)
  Max Muncy has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)