Read the Angels vs Braves Betting Guide – July 2, 2025

Los Angeles Angels

@

Atlanta Braves

On July 2, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will host the Los Angeles Angels at Truist Park for the second game of their interleague series. After yesterday’s matchup, which the Angels won, the Braves will be eager to bounce back. With the Braves sitting at 38-46, their below-average season is evident, particularly in their 21st-ranked offense. Conversely, the Angels, currently at 42-42, are experiencing an average campaign but boast a potent power threat, ranking 4th in home runs with 124.

The pitching matchup features Atlanta’s Didier Fuentes and Los Angeles’ Yusei Kikuchi. Fuentes has struggled this season, holding a 0-2 record and an alarming ERA of 10.80. His 5.49 xFIP suggests some misfortune, indicating he might improve eventually, but his projections today are concerning—averaging just 4.7 innings with 2.7 earned runs allowed. On the other hand, Kikuchi has been solid, with a 3-6 record and an impressive 2.79 ERA. His projections are more favorable, as he’s expected to pitch about 5.2 innings while allowing 3.3 earned runs.

While the Braves’ offense is underwhelming, they do have a key player performing well recently, with a 1.083 OPS over the past week. However, they face a tough challenge against Kikuchi, who has a reputation for being an average pitcher but has shown flashes of effectiveness. The Angels’ high-strikeout offense may play into Fuentes’ strengths, but with their power potential, they could turn his fly balls into home runs.

With a game total set at 9.5 runs, the Braves are favored with a moneyline of -140, and their implied team total stands at 5.07 runs. Given the matchup dynamics, this game could be pivotal for the Braves to regain some momentum.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  Yusei Kikuchi is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Jorge Soler has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Jorge Soler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Didier Fuentes – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Didier Fuentes will hold the platoon advantage over 7 opposing batters in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Nick Allen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Nick Allen’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 84.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.3-mph in the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-140)
  The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Atlanta Braves.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-160)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Michael Harris II – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)
  Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)