Player Prop Odds for Nationals vs Mets – Wednesday April 29, 2026

Washington Nationals

@

New York Mets

Washington Nationals Insights

• James Wood – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  James Wood has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Mets Insights

• David Peterson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Because flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, David Peterson (51% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 4 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-240)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)
  Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)