Player Prop Odds for Astros vs Mets – Friday August 28, 2026

Houston Astros

@

New York Mets

Houston Astros Insights

• Hunter Brown – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Hunter Brown has utilized his sinker 6.1% more often this year (29.7%) than he did last year (23.6%).
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Christian Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Christian Walker is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Houston Astros – 2H Moneyline
  The Houston Astros bullpen profiles as the 5th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  In his last game started, Christian Scott wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Luis Robert Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Luis Robert Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 103.6-mph in the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)