Picks and Betting Guide for Dodgers vs Giants – Sunday, September 27, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

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San Francisco Giants

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s matchup, Jack Dreyer may not remain in the game more than a couple framess considering he will function as more of an opener.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Shohei Ohtani has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 101.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+165)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Seymour today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Shay Whitcomb – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  As it relates to his batting average, Shay Whitcomb has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .174 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .097.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Victor Bericoto – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Victor Bericoto has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Christian Koss – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-170/+130)
  Christian Koss has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)