Odds and Betting Trends for Braves vs Athletics – 7/8/25

Atlanta Braves

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Athletics

As the Atlanta Braves visit Sutter Health Park to face the Oakland Athletics on July 8, 2025, both teams are struggling to find their footing this season. The Athletics sit at 37-55, while the Braves are slightly better at 39-50. Neither team is in contention for a playoff spot, and both are coming off losses: the Athletics fell 6-2 in their last outing, and the Braves lost 2-1.

In this interleague matchup, the Athletics are projected to start Jeffrey Springs, who has had a mixed season, boasting a 6-6 record and a 4.07 ERA. However, his advanced metrics suggest he may have been a bit lucky, as his xFIP sits at 4.72, indicating potential struggles ahead. Springs has been inconsistent, averaging just 4.9 innings per start and allowing 3.3 earned runs.

On the other side, Didier Fuentes will take the mound for the Braves. Fuentes has had a rough go, with an 0-2 record and a dismal 9.00 ERA. Despite this, projections indicate he could perform better, as his xFIP is significantly lower at 4.88. Fuentes averages only 4.8 innings per start, allowing 2.9 earned runs, which is still concerning for the Braves.

Offensively, the Athletics rank 13th in batting average and 10th in home runs, indicating some power potential despite their overall poor performance. The Braves, conversely, rank 21st in both batting average and runs scored, suggesting they may struggle to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

With both teams having high implied team totals of 5.25 runs, this game could see some offensive fireworks, especially if either pitcher falters. As the game approaches, bettors should keep a close eye on how these struggling pitchers perform, as their outcomes could significantly influence the game’s result.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Didier Fuentes – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Didier Fuentes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Sean Murphy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Sean Murphy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  The Atlanta Braves bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – Moneyline (-110)
  The Athletics infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Jacob Wilson’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 85.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 78.8-mph over the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Denzel Clarke – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Denzel Clarke hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 88 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
  Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)